"Though there be no such thing as Chance in the world; our ignorance of the real cause of any event has the same influence on the understanding...there is certainly a probability"
David Hume is saying that no things in life are 100% pure chance. All events that happen in life have some degree of probability. I think Hume is right in that sense. Some events can clearly have greater odds stacked against them than others, but the probability of chance is still there for them to happen. Ill use sports as example. If a baseball team is down a large number of runs in the 9th inning, has 2 outs agaisnt them, and an undefeated pitcher on the mound, the probability, or chance, of them coming back in the game is a pretty small chance.
Saturday, April 19, 2008
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3 comments:
i completely agree with you and Hume. nothing is a 100 percent sure but there is always a probablity and that we cannot ignore. its a matter of understanding. we have to understand that chances are part of the probability. everything in life is weighed on a scale. there are no chances.
Right. We cant leave things up to chance we have to evaluate what we want to happen well before "it" happens. The more we plan the closer we get to things happening the way we want them to turn out. Unfortunately things rarely turn out perfect, but they do come close should we monitor them. For example what if that baseball team dident leave anything up to chance and instead weighed their options against that all star pitcher weeks before the game and made the right corrections and practiced the right drills then come game time that losing team down by 5 points with one out left would have probably been in a better position, say down by 2 points with two outs left. Thats not chance any more, thats the effect of monitoring probability.
I agree with you that there is 100% pure chance. Yes its true that all events happen in life for a reason that turns into a probability.
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